r/IndianStreetBets • u/AssociateBubbly8634 • 18m left
Educational Jio Financial (JIOFIN): Is ₹200 Support Zone Worth Watching?
I spent the last few days reading through Jio Financial’s last three earnings call transcripts, and honestly, I came away with mixed feelings.
Let me start with what impressed me. Jio Credit, the lending arm, has gone from ₹25,700 cr in loans to ₹37,320 cr in just six months. Bank of America is coming in for a 49.9% stake, which brings roughly ₹18,000 cr of fresh capital (pending approvals). JioBlackRock’s AUM is already at ₹22,746 cr, and the payments bank says it has turned operationally profitable. Add a net worth of about ₹1.3 lakh cr, and the foundation is clearly strong.
But then I looked at the profit side, and the picture changes.
FY26 consolidated profit actually dipped about 3%. ROE is around 1.2%. That is very low for a company this size. And when I dug into where the earnings come from, a big chunk is RIL dividends and treasury gains, not the lending business itself. Jio Credit’s profit is ₹120 cr a quarter, which is small next to that capital base.
A few other things caught my eye: borrowings at Jio Credit have crossed ₹42,000 cr, its capital adequacy has come down from 25.9% to 18.5%, the BlackRock and Allianz ventures are still making losses while they scale, and payment volumes and monthly active users both slipped last quarter.
So where do I land? The business is building something real. But at a P/E of around 90 on FY26 numbers, the market is already paying for years of growth that haven’t shown up in profits yet. For me, this is a story stock right now, not an earnings stock. That isn’t necessarily bad, you just need to know which one you’re buying.
I’ll be watching four things: when the BofA money actually comes in, how fast Jio Credit’s profit grows, when associate losses start shrinking, and how the loan book holds up as it ages.
What do you think, is the market too far ahead here, or is the runway worth the premium?
I’m a NISM certified Research Analyst (not SEBI registered). This is my personal view for educational purposes, not investment advice. Please do your own research before investing.
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