r/investing • • 4h ago

Google now is on top 3 stocks by X, News & Polymarket communities.

10 Upvotes

Here are the primary arguments driving Google into the top 3 spots across these communities right now:

  • AI Momentum and Prediction Market Shifts:**Prediction markets (such as Polymarket and Kalshi) have recently seen Google edge out key competitors (like Anthropic) to take top positioning for leading the 2026 AI model roadmap. The narrative on X has pivoted from "Google is getting disrupted by LLMs" to "Google has the proprietary data, custom silicon (TPUs), and distribution to win the enterprise and consumer AI race."
  • Explosive Google Cloud Acceleration: Cloud has transformed from a secondary segment into a massive profit engine. Recent earnings reports highlighted massive multi-billion dollar surges in Cloud revenue with expanding operating margins (pushing past 35%), fueled by enterprise AI workloads migrating to Google's infrastructure.
  • Resilient Search Monetization: Fears that generative AI would completely cannibalize traditional search revenue have largely cooled off. Core search and ad revenues continue to post double-digit year-over-year growth, proving that Google's integration of AI overviews is successfully monetizing rather than destroying its primary cash cow.
  • Massive Scale Meets Infrastructure Dominance: Unlike smaller startup competitors, Alphabet possesses the balance sheet, global data centers, and massive free cash flow generation to fund aggressive capital expenditures (AI infrastructure, data centers, and energy scaling) without breaking a sweat. Waymo's continued maturation and outside funding are also adding hidden sum-of-the-parts value that retail traders are starting to price back in.

Are communities on X and prediction markets getting ahead of themselves, or is Alphabet fundamentally underpriced relative to its AI and cloud re-acceleration?

By the way, on Reddit Google on position 9.


r/investing • • 11h ago

Good Opportunity for Gold?

0 Upvotes

Now I know that gold is a classic rare metal that people should have some exposure to in their accounts anyway, but I think there is potential for a longer run over the coming years, so I am going to make my bull case and bear case. I already have a small position, but I am also planning on purchasing more at the current prices. My ETF of choice is GLD since it tracks the spot price directly and also has an annual expense ratio of 0.4%. If anyone prefers a different method, feel free to say as much in the comments. I have considered buying physical as well.

My Bull Case for buying @ ~$366

  • GLD sits about 28% below its 52-week high of $509.70. I realize the run up was a good selling opportunity, but gold is still hovering near $4,000 after a sharp pullback. I feel like investors typically fall into two camps after a big correction: this is either a good opportunity to buy in, or the rally is over. So why'd it drop so much? A combo of interest rate expectations, Treasury yield increases, and the dollar momentarily strengthening. I’ll touch on this more in the bear case.
  • Over the last 25 years, gold has outperformed the S&P by about double (938% vs 461%). I know 25 years is pretty arbitrary as far as time horizons go, but I am planning on holding for a long time.
  • The US federal debt keeps climbing and climbing. In fiscal year 2026 we hit a record $1.05 trillion in net interest payments. I repeat - over $1T on interest alone! How is the US government planning on reining this in? In my opinion, the likeliest path forward is policies that tolerate inflation and erode the true value of the debt. I foresee a lot of money printing in the near future. In this case, people holding cash lose out.
  • Have the structural reasons for buying gold changed in the last few years? Has the US eliminated its fiscal deficit? Has the debt begun shrinking? Has federal interest expense returned to historical norms? Have the central banks stopped diversifying reserves? Has the global monetary system suddenly become more disciplined? I am inclined to say no to all of these questions. The short-term circumstances for gold provide some pretty strong headwinds (see the bear case), but I think the long-term forces still apply.
  • Gold still matters from a de-dollarization perspective. No fiat currency has ever survived in the history of mankind, and the US dollar can go the same way. Gold can’t be printed like fiat, and there is continued instability in the Middle East. That cuts both ways, though - the conflict supports gold as a safe haven, but it has also strengthened the dollar and kept energy prices elevated (again see bear case).
  • As far as following the “smart” money goes, central banks bought over 1,000 metric tons a year from 2022 through 2024, and still added 863 tons in 2025.
  • A minor, but legitimate, player is the AI build out. Gold in electronics accounts for ~7% of annual gold demand, compared to jewelry, central bank buying, and investment demand. Figured I would include it since this is a global movement.

My Bear Case for avoiding @ ~$366

  • Gold pays no yield, and higher interest rates or other strong performing assets apply pressure or are at least tempting/more exciting.
  • A stronger dollar can pressure it, as we’ve seen recently, even if its momentary.
  • Reuters reported on Oct 12 that the dollar was near its strongest level in a year and a half, helped by safe-haven demand amid the war in Iran. Higher energy prices are likely to keep inflation elevated, and the SPR is at historic lows. Pressure on other routes to get oil out of the Middle East is exacerbating this.
  • All of this points to Warsh keeping interest rates high or pushing them higher. Keep in mind that we are expecting another Fed rate decision on Oct 28, and a hike is definitely on the table.
  • The 30 year Treasury bonds are at ~5.3%.
  • Some critics think the growth of the US economy could outpace the debt (I don’t personally agree with this).

Possible PT?

Just using this part to say that historical performance is not a guarantee of future price action. Gold can always stop climbing for a number of reasons, and just because gold’s historical rebounds from large corrections have seen it climb higher doesn’t mean that will happen again. Not financial advice, lol.

Quick math on a possible 5-year price target using gold’s 25-year return (938%):

  • The multiple of a 938% return = 938/100 + 1 = 10.38x
  • Annualized return over 25 years = 10.38^(1/25) - 1 = 1.098 - 1 = 0.098, or 9.8% a year
  • Applying that rate for 5 years = 1.098^5 = ~1.6x
  • Apply that multiple to the current price: $366 * 1.6 = ~$586. Shave off about 2% for fees and call it ~$575.

That’s about $65 above the 52-week high of $509.70, or roughly 57% above today’s price. That doesn't seem like much in this crazy bull market, but since it is the world reserve asset, I think it is a good play in this environment. I plan to DCA my position over the next few months. Can it can go lower? Yup, I just know I am not buying at the top! Thoughts?


r/investing • • 7h ago

Where are you putting your rainy day funds?

17 Upvotes

Wife and I are late 40s. I’m an attorney for federal government, so have TSP. She’s an entrepreneur.

We have a brokerage account for the “in case of emergency” funds. Idea being relatively safe, but would like positive yields as we’re talking about close to six figures total in the account.

We don’t actively trade (our other accounts are managed by an advisor). I put the money in 7 years ago when we sold our first house and haven’t touched it since. Most of the funds are split between two mini bond funds (FLAAX and GSMIX). I’m currently sitting on unrealized losses of over 13% between the two. It seems odd to me given that both have dividends every month, but the overall account balance moves down more than up. Obviously, I’ve made poor choices here.

What would you do in this situation? Sell the bond funds and buy something else? Hold for potential turnaround to at least break even? I feel like a complete sucker given the t-bills are paying actual returns these days. I should have just put it all in high-yield savings but the balance gets us into a higher tier of BofA travel rewards so I haven’t wanted to move the money to Cap One.

Thanks!


r/investing • • 20h ago

How would you make your portfolio be AI bubbleproof/neutral?

0 Upvotes

Context: I have a concentration risk in AI because my employer is an AI meme stock. My RSUs and the security of my job is tied to AI.

I'd like to eliminate AI exposure in my 401ks and brokerage accounts. I'm fine 'underperforming' the market if AI bubble keeps growing since my increased income will compensate.

What's the best way to do it? The best way is likely selling OTM puts..but that's probably tough in a 401k.

What's the simplest way to do it?


r/investing • • 1h ago

HSBC says investors are shifting funds from France to UK

22 Upvotes

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/world-indices/articles/hsbc-says-investors-shifting-funds-094416822.html

>The broker recently cut France to "underweight," citing a worsening fiscal backdrop, weaker economic forecasts and deteriorating analyst expectations, according to a Sept. 23 report.

More bad news for France while the UK economy seems to be growing stronger and much more resilient and increasing growth.


r/investing • • 19h ago

I have the option for Mega Backdoor Roth though my company, but unsure if I should take advantage

23 Upvotes

Hello,

My wife and I both work at the same company and have an arbitrary but not set in stone plan to retire at 50. I am not the most savvy investor when it comes to strategy for this, so I am looking for some advice.

Right now we both max out our 401k contributions with a 9% match from the company. We also have a Roth IRA which we backdoor to max it out each year. We also have some individual stocks and invest our HSA. Lastly, we have recently started an Individual Brokerage as my understanding is this will help bridge the gap from 50 to 59 and a half.

I was told that the Mega Backdoor option is offered to my through my company, and it was suggested I take advantage. If I have just enough money to contribute to my other investments currently, I am wondering if there some money from, lets say, my individual IRA or stocks that I should look to instead contribute to the Mega Backdoor if I am wanting to retire early, or if should I continue to focus on the individual IRA. My understanding is we are on a pretty good trajectory to have enough money in the later retirement years, and the challenge will be having enough money to actually retire early.

Anyone else have the option for Mega Backdoor, and are you using it?

Edit: changed the wording from individual IRA to individual brokerage, and clarified it's a Roth IarA that we backdoor, sorry and thank you for the education!


r/investing • • 1h ago

What are your thoughts on Wealthsimple? Would you trust it with all your investments?

4 Upvotes

I’ve been looking into Wealthsimple and am curious to hear about other people’s experiences with the platform. It seems like a convenient option for managing investments, but moving all my investments to one platform is a big decision, so I’d like to hear some honest opinions before considering it seriously.

One of my main questions is how comfortable you would feel keeping all your investments in one place rather than spreading them across different financial institutions.

Do you feel confident about the security of your accounts, the protection available for your investments, and the process of accessing your money when needed?

Mostly, I’d also love to hear how Wealthsimple compares with traditional Canadian banks and other Canadian investment platforms in terms of fees, customer service, available investment options, and overall peace of mind.

Have any of you transferred your entire portfolio to Wealthsimple? If so, what made you decide to do it, and have you been happy with that decision? On the other hand, if you decided to keep some investments elsewhere, what was the main reason?
I’m not necessarily looking for people to convince me one way or the other. I’d appreciate hearing both the positives and negatives, especially from people with firsthand experience.

Overall, how much would you trust Wealthsimple with your entire investment portfolio, and why?
This version is designed to invite balanced responses from experienced investors rather than just getting simple yes-or-no answers.


r/investing • • 21m ago

SoFi was around $16 five years ago and still around $16 going into this week.

• Upvotes

SoFi was in the $15-ish range around 5y ago, back in dec'21

It's $16 going into this week. Q3 results have been awesome with revenue soaring 44% to $1.4B and EPS beating estimates, finally forced the stock over $16.

Total Revenue grew by ~362% in the last 5y.

SoFi brought in $1.09 billion in full-year 2021.

By EOY 2026, management expects full-year net revenue to hit $5 billion

5 years of nothing and now everyone’s talking about it again.

watching the company get way bigger while your number doesn’t move has been brutal.


r/investing • • 3h ago

Daily Discussion Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - October 28, 2026

3 Upvotes

Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

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If your question is "I have $XXXXXXX, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

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r/investing • • 14h ago

Contributing to SEP IRA regularly vs EOY

3 Upvotes

For those who are self employed and have with SEP IRA do you contribute to it regularly throughout the year or at tax time when you know your limits? I’m not grossing enough to be at the absolute limit but am hesitant to contribute without knowing how I’ll finish the year particularly in the early part of the year. Is this a mistake? Should I make regular contributions Ie every 2 weeks / every month or does it not really matter and just do it at the end of the year? TIA