Link to toplines above ⬆️

Link to article with results here

Link to toplines above ⬆️

Link to article with results here

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/28/polls/times-siena-mn-poll-crosstabs.html

Trump net approval

Minnesota: -26
Florida: -10
South Carolina: -13

"The voters in S.C. are not buying the argument that everyone has to ‘settle’ for a candidate that has been propped up by special interest groups and a Republican president spending millions of dollars spreading false narratives about why Darlene [sic] Graham is qualified to be elected to the U.S. Senate for the next six years," Norman told Fox News Digital via text message in all capital letters.
He said the general election "is about attempts to ‘force’ a candidate on the voters of S.C. and regardless of the outcome, it didn’t have to be this way as the great people living in South Carolina deserve ‘better!!’"

Couldn’t have said it better myself, thank you Ralph Norman!

Link to toplines above ⬆️

Link to article with results

Some people have even begun to wonder if a glimmer of blue could break into Louisiana's long red Senatorial history. Is this the year, they ask, when Louisiana elects its first Black U.S. Senator in more than a century?

Louisiana pollster John Couvillon still believes that Letlow will win, he told The Lens. But "this is not going to be a slam dunk race for [her]," he warned.

It seems nearly impossible to push that list of flipped seats to Louisiana, which Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. But the race has become close, Couvillon acknowledged. Part of that is due to Republicans who are crossing over, defecting from their party, to vote for Democrats. A typical rate of defection in elections is 5%. But in this election, across the nation, the rates are more than double, "I am seeing defections from Republicans towards Democratic candidates in about the 12% range," he said.

The monkey's paw: finally a non partisan but it's the weirdest poll ever, ffs

Ranking competitive Senate seats from left to right by election rating, polling average, and estimated margins from RTWH, SplitTicket, and VoteHub.

Prop 1 ($11.25B Housing Bond) - 55% Yes, 43% No

Prop 2 (Rainy Day Fund) - 60% Yes, 39% No

Prop 3 (Make Tax on High Incomes Permanent) - 58% Yes, 41% No

Prop 4 (Public Financing of Campaigns) - 45% Yes, 52% No

Prop 5 (Change Recall Process) - 45% Yes, 52% No

Prop 37 (Middle-Income Home Loans) - 65% Yes, 32% No

Prop 38 ($8.4B Immunology Bond) - 57% Yes, 41% No

Prop 39 (Voter ID) - 41% Yes, 58% No

Prop 40 (Wealth Tax) - 46% Yes, 52% No

Prop 41 (Prohibits Certain New State Taxes) - 48% Yes, 49% No

Prop 42 (Prohibit Retroactive State Taxes) - 51% Yes, 47% No

Prop 43 (Restore 2/3rd Threshold to Pass Special Taxes) - 42% Yes, 55% No

Prop 44 (Community Health Clinic Mandates) - 25% Yes, 71% No

Prop 45 (CEQA Reform) - 46% Yes, 50% No

(Credit to Rob Pyers on Twitter for this list:)

Full article here.

Here's how FrontlineDemocracy's forecast for the House elections changes with D+6 to D+12 generic ballot scenarios.

>225 House Seats are the floor for Democrats

Israel 2026 election exit polls: Majority of Israelis vote for opposition to Netanyahu government; Neither bloc comes out ahead

Exit polls from Israel's major television networks project that a majority of Israelis voted against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition in Tuesday's election, but Likud has emerged as the largest party. Neither bloc has a clear majority without the support of Arab parties, which have surged to historic highs in this election.

According to the Channel 13 poll, Netanyahu's bloc has won seats, the bloc led by Yashar's Gadi Eisenkot has earned seats and the Arab parties.

Netanyahu bloc
• Likud: 25
• Otzma Yehudit: 6
• United Torah Judaism: 7
• Shas: 6
• Religious Zionism: 6
• Amcha Yisrael: Does not pass threshhold
Total: 50

Eisenkot bloc

• Yashar: 23
• Together: 14
• Democrats: 9
• Yisrael Beiteinu: 7

Total: 53
Arab parties

• Joint List: 10
• United Arab List: 7

Total: 17
Unaligned parties

• Reservists: Does not pass threshhold

https://x.com/remynuma/status/2115066878611628032

Senate: Ohio: Tossup -> Lean D, South Carolina: Likely R -> Lean R, Mississippi: Safe R -> Likely R. Governor: Ohio: Tossup -> Lean D. House: 19 races moved towards Democrats