r/boxoffice • u/SanderSo47 • 4h ago
r/boxoffice • u/thestopsign • 16h ago
✍️ Original Analysis US Domestic Box Office Comparison 2019 vs. 2023 vs. 2024 vs. 2025 vs 2026 - Through Weekend 43
Notes:
- 2026 remains ahead of other post-COVID Weekend 43's in this comparison and the year's super power has been being consistent week-to-week.
- We are current $1.4B ahead of 2025 at this point and that should keep growing going into December.
- 2019 had no major new releases and still was higher than post-COVID years with legs from Maleficent 2 and Joker.
r/boxoffice • u/SanderSo47 • 1d ago
✍️ Original Analysis Weekend Actuals for October 23-25 – A Face/Off
DC ventured into horror territory with Clayface, which posted a solid start around the world, amidst limitations for the body horror genre. After suffering capacity issues last week, A24 massively expanded You Can See Everything, resulting in a strong second weekend uptick.
Unfortunately, the rest of the newcomers didn't fare very well. Wildwood was the typical Laika film that doesn't come anywhere close to a respectable number. Klara and the Sun was dumped without fanfare. And Amazon chose not to report numbers for Ali G: Who Iz I?. At least Wicker had some respectable numbers with its small push.
The Top 10 earned a combined $87.9 million this weekend. That's up 27.3% from last year, when Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc topped the box office, holding off Regretting You and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.
Topping the box office, WB's Clayface debuted with a solid $24 million in 3,458 theaters. That's the lowest start in the DC Universe so far, but it's not like it was expected to come close to the numbers of Superman ($125 million) and Supergirl ($37.1 million).
At the end of the day, the film was sold as a body horror thriller, and WB was wise in keeping the budget low at $44 million. So it's not a bad start at all.
DC hasn't had the best luck lately at the box office, and when it wins, it also comes with a few issues. Superman was very successful domestically, but it disappointed overseas. And Supergirl was a huge failure across the world. Expectations weren't very high for Clayface, given it's a smaller-scale project that wouldn't affect much the universe, either if it succeeded or flopped.
At the very least, the film got to benefit from the spooky season by selling the film less as a comic book title and more like a horror film. Now, this is specifically a body horror, which is a very niche subgenre. The closest comparison was The Substance at $17.5 million, but that was an original IP and had a smaller distributor attached. Clayface is based on a member of Batman's rogue gallery, and while he's not ultra popular like Joker or Penguin, it's still an advantage that other films don't have.
Despite the lack of Batman in the marketing angle, WB did a fine job in attracting horror fans. The very poor reception of Other Mommy also helped, as horror fans abandoned the film and needed something else for the season. Reviews weren't very glowing, but they were solid enough (75% RT) to give it some legs to stand.
According to Warner Bros., it skewed male, and a massive 73% of the audience was in the 18-34 demographic. They gave it a pretty good "A–" on CinemaScore, which is very great for a horror title. Usually horror films that get this grade can show great legs, and the fact that its second weekend falls on Halloween should lead to a good drop. There's also the possibility that it could fall hard after Halloween ends, but for now, Clayface should be safe to hit $60 million domestically.
After its monster debut last week, A24 expanded You Can See Everything to 2,655 theaters. As such, the film saw a 25% increase, earning $19.5 million this weekend. That's a better second weekend than Fahrenheit 9/11 ($16.4 million), which also saw a jump in theater screenings. So that means the film now holds the record for the best second weekend for a documentary. In per-theater average, the film was actually stronger than Clayface ($7,345 vs. $6,941)
Through 10 days, the film has earned a fantastic $45.1 million, making it the third biggest non-music documentary. It's currently $10.3 million behind Fahrenheit 9/11 through the same point, but it's posting some very strong numbers and word of mouth is still incredible. It should continue benefitting from that and the dead zone this weekend. So the film actually stands a chance in hitting $100 million domestically.
Debuting in third place, Fathom's release of Laika's Wildwood opened with $12.2 million in 2,942 theaters. That's Laika's fifth biggest debut, behind Kubo and the Two Strings ($12.6 million), ParaNorman ($14 million), Coraline ($16.8 million) and The Boxtrolls ($17.2 million).
Unfortunately, in terms of financials, this is a very poor start. The film cost a staggering $100 million, and it debuted with just 11% of that, and it couldn't even be among Laika's top 3 debuts. This is sadly on par with Laika's brand; with the exception of Coraline, all their films have flopped at the box office. Maybe there was an expectation that Wildwood could hit $20 million, but it wasn't feasible.
Animation has been very popular, but stop-motion has been a very niche brand. Wildwood marked the biggest debut in the format since Kubo, which further highlights the struggling appeal of the brand. Only two films have cracked $100 million domestically: Chicken Run ($106.8 million) and Coraline ($116.8 million with re-releases). So as you can see, there weren't very high expectations.
The film had wonderful visuals, and it tried to build awareness among animation fans. But the stop-motion brand has its limit, and the film also wasn't the typical animated film. It's a dark fantasy with a PG-13 rating and a 131-minute runtime, which further limits the audience. Not to mention that the film lacked the support of a big studio for distribution. Their prior films were helmed by Focus Features and MGM, while this is distributed by Fathom Events. While Fathom has been successful with re-releases or special events, a blockbuster release of this level is just uncharted territory for them.
Regardless, at least the film has the acclaim on its side: it's sitting at a fantastic 100% on RT and 87 on Metacritic. Some of the best scores of the year, and it's Laika's best rated film on both sites. So at least it didn't fail with the quality.
According to Fathom, 51% of the audience was female, and it played strongly with the 18-34 demographic. As expected, the PG-13 rating swayed families, with kids under 12 representing just 7% of the gross. They gave it a great "A" on CinemaScore, tying with Kubo as Laika's best rated film. Their films usually leg out (the very light drops over the weekend are encouraging), so it's not unreasonable to think it could reach $40 million domestically. But it will still be a very underwhelming number, as it will just be Laika's fifth highest grossing film.
But as history taught us, Laika is not in the business of making money. If it relied heavily on that, it would've closed a long time ago. That Nike money will keep them afloat, so the future of the company is not in jeopardy. But it still deserves better numbers.
After its disappointing start, Paramount's Street Fighter was left for dead in its second weekend. It made just $8.5 million, which represents a horrible 72% drop. That drop is much bigger than Mortal Kombat II (65%), but it's unsurprising considering the film's poor word of mouth. Through 10 days, the film has earned a disappointing $46.9 million and it looks like it will close with a little above $60 million. It could miss that milestone though. And it guarantees that it will finish with less attendance than the reviled 1994 version.
Debuting in fifth place, Black Bear's Wicker earned $5.7 million in 1,471 theaters. Given how the studio's recent projects have performed very poorly, this is quite strong for their standards. The film has great reviews and word of mouth, so maybe it won't fall off quickly.
In sixth place, BTS World Tour ‘Arirang’ secured $4.5 million from just Saturday and Sunday.
Universal/Blumhouse's Other Mommy continues its collapse. It dropped a further 52%, making $3.9 million. With $51.5 million domestically, it only has one week left before Halloween ends and its legs fully die.
Sense and Sensibility is not long for theaters. On its second weekend, it dropped a rough 54%, for a $3.3 million weekend. The drop is surprising, considering the decent word of mouth and the fact that usually films like these are known for legging out. Through 10 days, the film has earned $13.5 million, and it looks to finish with less than $20 million.
Further continuing the bad luck of last week's newcomers, 20th Century Studios' Whalefall also suffered a big drop. It collapsed 61%, earning just $3 million. The film has banked $13.9 million through 10 days, and it's also set to finish with less than $20 million.
Rounding out the Top 10 was Amazon MGM's Verity, which has yet to see a single good drop. It dropped another 49%, for a $3 million weekend. The film has amassed $71.5 million, and it looks to finish with a tad below $80 million.
Outside the Top 10, Resident Evil dropped 47%, making $2.9 million. With $153.5 million domestically, it has passed Weapons to become Zach Cregger's highest grossing film. Halloween should give it one last great drop, securing it can make its way to over $160 million domestically.
Heart of the Beast dropped 48%, earning $2.4 million. The film's domestic total stands at $62.4 million.
Of course, we're missing one wide release here and that's Sony's Klara and the Sun. You have to go till 14th place to find it, as the film earned a pathetic $701,059 in 880 theaters. The film was originally set to play in over 1,900 theaters before Sony decided to slash the count to just 880. The result after the film played at the London Film Festival, where the film was critically panned. With horrible reviews (24% RT) and an abysmal per-theater average of $797, it's not gonna last long in theaters. Marking the latest financial failure for director Taika Waititi and star Jenna Ortega.
Fjord expanded to 107 theaters and made $324,632 this weekend. The film has now made $685,563 domestically, and it's set to hit 500 theaters next week.
Netflix expanded La Bola Negra to 9 theaters, and it earned $245,000, for a strong $27,222 per-theater average. The film has earned $650K in limited release, and it's set to continue a slow expansion.
Still in limited release, the documentary NAZA crossed $1 million domestically.
As the post said up there, Amazon MGM chose not to report numbers for Ali G: Who Iz I?, having decided to forego a wider release. The film will premiere on Prime Video this Wednesday.
OVERSEAS
Clayface debuted with $22.5 million overseas, for a $46.5 million worldwide launch. A bit lower than the expected $45 million launch, but it's still a fine start. Obviously, blockbuster superhero titles aren't comps. So focusing on some recent horror titles, the launch was a little above Other Mommy ($45.6 million).
The film had solid starts in the UK ($2.6M), Australia ($1.3M) and France ($1.2M). But it disappointed in Mexico ($1.4M), a huge market for horror. It also had soft debuts in Brazil ($879K), Italy ($873K), Spain ($721K), UAE ($626K), Germany ($593K), South Korea ($589K), Saudi Arabia ($561K) and Taiwan ($404K). The film should be strong enough to reach $100 million worldwide. It's not a lot of money for a DC title, but given how horrible Supergirl fared, at least it'll be a small win.
Resident Evil added another $10.3 million overseas, pushing its worldwide total to $383.8 million.
Street Fighter is also taking a steep drop in the rest of the world, as it fell 60% overseas, making $8.2 million and taking its worldwide total to a very weak $79.6 million. The best markets are the UK ($5.6M), Mexico ($2.9M), Australia ($2.6M), France ($2.2M), and Germany ($1.6M). If these drops continue, there's the possibility it could miss $100 million worldwide. Which means it could make less than the 1994 version ($99 million), even unadjusted for inflation.
Other Mommy added $5.3 million overseas, for a $95.1 million worldwide run.
Wildwood began its run in a few countries, finding $3 million overseas for a $15.2 million worldwide run. The UK was its biggest market with $1.4 million, while it unearthed $567K in Australia, and disappointed in Italy ($393K), Spain ($242K), and Netherlands ($168K). Next week, it adds more major markets, including Mexico, a big market for Laika's titles.
FILMS THAT ENDED THEIR RUN THIS WEEK
None.
THIS WEEKEND
When Halloween falls on a weekend, studios often avoid releasing big stuff. With so many distractions (trick 'r treatin' or parties), people often avoid theaters during the day. So there's no film opening on wide release here. So it's going to be a battle again between Clayface and You Can See Everything for the top spot.
r/boxoffice • u/TiredWithCoffeePot • 2h ago
Domestic 10/27/26 - Box Office Projections
Clayface
You Can See Everything
Wildwood
Street Fighter
Wicker
r/boxoffice • u/TiredWithCoffeePot • 8h ago
👤Casting News Connor Storrie in Talks to Join Ryan Gosling in Marvel’s ‘Ghost Rider’
r/boxoffice • u/chanma50 • 4h ago
🍿 IMAX Per Cineplex, 'Dune: Part One' and 'Dune: Part Two' will re-release in IMAX, with a double feature set for November 13, and individual releases set for November 14.
r/boxoffice • u/chanma50 • 14h ago
Domestic $1M CLUB: MONDAY 1. CLAYFACE ($2.2M) 2. YOU CAN SEE EVERYTHING ($2.1M) 3. WILDWOOD ($1.4M)
r/boxoffice • u/chanma50 • 7h ago
📆 Release Date 4DX Expands 'Wicker' to One-Week Run Thanks to Social Media-Driven Demand
r/boxoffice • u/DeppStepp • 15h ago
Domestic DC’s Clayface grossed an estimated $2.275 M on Monday (from 3,458 locations). Estimated total domestic gross stands at $26.277 M.
the-numbers.comr/boxoffice • u/lowell2017 • 12h ago
📰 Industry News Even With Cobbled-Together Middle East Financing, WarnerDiscovery Executives View Skydance's $87.5B Debt Mountain As “Insurmountable & Destructive” - On Musk's $1B Investment, They Said “It’s Bad Enough That We Have David Ellison. Do We Need To Discourage Everyone From Doing Business With Us, Too?”
puck.newsr/boxoffice • u/chanma50 • 10h ago
International Warner Bros. / DC Studios' Clayface grossed an estimated $2.3M internationally on Monday. Estimated international total stands at $21.1M, estimated global total stands at $47.4M.
r/boxoffice • u/EcstaticPublic9939 • 9h ago
🎟️ Pre-Sales TheFlatLannister on BOT: Godzilla presales are great. MTC3 is considerably stronger than TC2 for IMAX fan event and MTC3 Friday is even ahead of TC2 Friday. Compared to something presales heavy like Mandalorian, Godzilla is 49% behind for OW. It obviously won't keep pace with Mando but that is quite
forums.boxofficetheory.comr/boxoffice • u/EcstaticPublic9939 • 9h ago
🎟️ Pre-Sales TheFlatLannister on BOT: The Cat in the Hat is probably headed for $18M+ OW. At MTC3, it is 41% behind The Goat weekend presales, 57% behind Hoppers weekend presales.
forums.boxofficetheory.comr/boxoffice • u/verissimoallan • 14h ago
⏳️ Throwback Tuesday The Adventures of Tintin turns 15 this week. Directed by Steven Spielberg, co-produced by Peter Jackson, and co-written by Steven Moffat and Edgar Wright, the film, based on Hergé's acclaimed comics, had a budget of $135 million and grossed $374 million worldwide. A sequel is in development.
r/boxoffice • u/RuminatingReaper1850 • 8h ago
Domestic Paramount & Legendary's Street Fighter grossed $658K on Monday (from 3,575 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $47.58M.
r/boxoffice • u/AGOTFAN • 9h ago
💿 Home Video Sony’s ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ for Third Time Tops Weekly Fandango Transactional Chart Through October 25
r/boxoffice • u/ChiefLeef22 • 14h ago
📰 Industry News - $175-200M budget (closer to $200M) A24’s Fantasy Epic ‘Elden Ring’ Heads To AFM As The Biggest Movie Ever On Sale At A Market; Amazon Joins Pic Starring Kit Connor
r/boxoffice • u/hiiloovethis • 1h ago
Domestic Can Clayface increase this weekend due to Halloween?
Clayface is doing really well at domestic box office (int I'm not sure). You can see everything had an increase which is rare but wom let that.
Since the audience reception is exceptional and Halloween weekend... can we expect a increase from previous weekend?
r/boxoffice • u/Beneficial-Hotel-232 • 4h ago
✍️ Original Analysis Dunesday will be a monumental achievement for Theaters and end 2026 in a really beautiful way - That's what people must focus on
For more than a year it's been discussed if Doomsday will do well due to MCU fatigue, if Dune 3 should move in order to do more money, which movie will gross more, which one will be better and the result is that a lot of the discourse surrounding Dunesday is really toxic, with fans of both movies clashing and insulting each other, distracting themselves from the most important fact: Both movies will contribute to the theatrical expirience thriving.
2026 is probably gonna end up being the best year for movie theaters since the pandemic, as it's already is. We had some crazy BO runs this year and some generationals ones like BND, Odyssey, Obssession and Backrooms. Nontheless, at least for me, movies feel like a huge part of the culture again, and going to the movies as well. So, to end this year with a chef's kiss, we're gonna get two giant blockbusters on holiday season that will absolutely drive masses of people into theaters.
People are gonna remember this the same way they remember Endgame, Avatar, Barbenheimer... even Titanic. I`m going to my first midnight screening ever to watch doomsday, just an hour after my early screening for Dune 3, so I`m excited as much as one can be.
Isn't that all that we want and celebrate here? Movie theaters thriving and being culturally relevant? I feel 2026 is giving us that a lot, and Dunesday wil close this year in a really beautiful way and remind people even more that there is no fun like the movies
r/boxoffice • u/TiredWithCoffeePot • 10h ago
Domestic Black Bear’s Wicker grossed $671K on Monday (from 1,471 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $6.42M. #Wicker #BoxOffice
r/boxoffice • u/matthieuC • 14h ago
📰 Industry News Skydance Is Offering Employees Voluntary Buyouts Ahead of Layoffs, Adopts 5-Days-per-Week In-Office Policy
r/boxoffice • u/RuminatingReaper1850 • 15h ago
⏳️ Throwback Tuesday In Time was released 15 years ago. Despite receiving mixed to negative reviews, Andrew Niccol's high concept sci-fi action film was a box office success, grossing $37.5M domestically and $173.9M worldwide on a $40M budget.
r/boxoffice • u/Lonely-Freedom4986 • 4h ago