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u/chasimus 1d ago
Rapid reusability needs to be rapider reusability now
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u/Merltron 1d ago
rare moment of honesty
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u/LUK3FAULK 1d ago
Or still possibly an overinflated number for all we know
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
Probably not, Raptor v2 was also regularly hitting 230tf, it would be weird if it actually got any worse.
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u/Naive-Eggplant-5633 1d ago
Its in imperial tons not metric, when converted its like 260tf. 230tf in metric it wouldn't be able to leap V3 off the pad like that and dump a crapton of fuel after shutoff. Why tf doesn't he use meganewtons? No idea.
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u/bobbycorwin123 1d ago
Not really, isp went down from raptor 1 to 2. Depends on the focus
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
Eeh that was just 1% and that’s also based on the stated figure for Raptor 1, the actual achieved may have been slightly less and we had so much more testing and whatever for Raptor 2
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u/No-Bicycle-7660 1d ago
if he says 230, it's highly likely it's significantly less than 230 ...
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u/ForceUser128 1d ago
Then physics would be lying too and I mean, he's rich, but no one is THAT rich.
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u/chlebseby 1d ago
t-F?
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u/Naive-Eggplant-5633 1d ago
Tons force
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u/champignax 1d ago
Is it the new ton or the old ton ?
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u/Naive-Eggplant-5633 1d ago
I believe imperial tons which is really weird measurement to use I don't understand why the dude can't get metrics straight, what people see is 230tf by the metrics everyone else uses wouldn't even be able to lift that stack let alone that fast off the pad and dump that much fuel, for some reason he's using a metric that almost nobody uses which would translate to like 260 tf
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u/chlebseby 1d ago edited 1d ago
i guess writing "tf" or "tons" would not be facy enough...
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u/jawshoeaw 14h ago
tf can look ambiguous to the masses in print. Hence endless apostrophe errors, use of parentheses etc
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u/cmfarsight 1d ago
The unit is normally tf, for tons force. Not sure why he doesn't know basic units.
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u/MrCockingFinally 1d ago
Tons force is a basic unit, and pretty useful as a top line rocket engine specification.
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u/Dangerous_Room_201 1d ago
(because he's not an engineer)
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u/cmfarsight 1d ago
I don't think it requires assent to the lofy heights of being an engineer to know basic units, particularly when you claim to be around this day in day out.
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u/leaveitalone38 1d ago
We need Raptor 10.
The Raptor is a great engine, Starship is just massive.
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u/Ok-Library-1253 1d ago
Based on this progression Raptor 10 will be a pipe with a couple wires attached.
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u/jawshoeaw 14h ago
11 should be wireless
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u/ismellmyownfarts2 7h ago edited 3h ago
Raptor 12 wont even be a visible engine. It'll be an empty space to save on mass while also providing near-infinite thrust-to-weight ratio.
"The best part is no part."
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u/UW_Ebay 1d ago
Doesn’t all that support electronics and cabling still exist, just moved off the actual engine?
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u/Remy-today 1d ago
On the first gen a lot of sensors where there for diagnostic; this was reduced and simplified with V2 and more so with V3.
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u/rosstafarien 17h ago
Most of the complexity is still there but it's packaged much more securely.
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u/Ok-Library-1253 16h ago
It is going the same way as printers.
My 1st raven printer had over 20 buttons and a huge array of “features.” My modern printer has 2 buttons and works much better.
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u/7heCulture 1d ago
First solid state engine with no moving parts, just fancy exotic fields moving plasma around.
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u/ismellmyownfarts2 7h ago
The guy behind the dumpster at my local Waffle House says he designed one of those along with his free energy machine 10 years ago. Sounds like Musk has some serious competition!
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u/erberger 1d ago
Maybe people wanna believe that 22 Starships to refuel a lunar lander number now?
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u/Traditional-Hat-3480 1d ago
Hey Eric we know you don't like musk but try be little More rational lol
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u/Mecha-Dave 1d ago
So it's gonna be 25-30 launches, then, huh?
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u/lopbob8 1d ago
bring back the 18-meter-diameter starship design
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u/mclumber1 1d ago
This is the way. You don't need crazily power dense engines if you have enough surface area to mount those engines too. 9m design was always a mistake.
Fight me.
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
When you’re increasing your surface area your volume also goes up by the same ratio so your TWR isn’t even changing
However you actually and up at a very stubby rocket so you probably need to make it taller but that means your volume increased even more
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u/BeerPoweredNonsense 1d ago
I thought that 9m was chosen so that it could be built in the same factory as Falcon (but I could be mistaken).
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u/Dakke97 1d ago
12 meter first, but there is a case to be made for going all the way to 18.
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u/WetCake187 1d ago
Yeah you need to build new infrastructure either way, just go directly to 15 or 18
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u/rocketglare 1d ago
ASAP's number may have already included this information. They likely have access to things before we do.
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u/Mecha-Dave 1d ago
Really casts doubt on Elon's "6-8" that he claims.
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
6-8 is definitely based on Starship v4 and its 200t to LEO capacity so not really, and that is planned to use the Raptor 4 anyways.
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u/PotatoesAndChill 22h ago
Can't they just launch expendable refuel ships? I feel like it makes more sense at this stage.
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u/Mecha-Dave 20h ago
They can't afford to lose that many raptors. The cost is one thing but building them that fast is beyond even their impressive capability now
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u/PotatoesAndChill 19h ago
It's only 6 raptors per upper stage. The first stage can still be reusable, whereas removing all the recovery hardware (flaps, tiles, header tanks?) from the upper stage converts all that saved mass into usable payload at a 1:1 ratio.
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u/RudraRousseau 1d ago
Does this mean that the current starship isnt going to the moon and mars?
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u/chlebseby 1d ago
It will just carry less
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u/scienceworksbitches 1d ago
no it means they will need a prohibitively large number of tanker ship launches to fill up the moon ship.
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
There is no “prohibitively large” number of tankers to fill it up thanks to full reusability.
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u/ravenerOSR 1d ago
no. no it doesent. thats very nearly a linear relationship. the total stack mass depends on the total s1 thrust, but you'll be scaling the ship based on the total stack mass. the ship you're sending to mars just becomes somewhat smaller and it evens out the refuellings.
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
Why would it mean that? 230tf is enough to lift it to LEO which is the only section where thrust to mass ratio (of the rocket) is relevant
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u/14u2c 1d ago
I mean you’re ignoring the slightly relevant question of how much you are lifting to LEO. Doesn’t do you much to just get the rocket there.
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u/shanehiltonward 1d ago
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u/Turbo_csgo 1d ago
Very cool how far they’ve come! Lets also not forget the RS-25 is closer to sputnik 1 in time than it is to Raptor 3.
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
No, actually, because Starship’s entire method of operations is being fueled in orbit to go somewhere else, even if you’re lifting less, you can just send more ships.
For normal rockets this is not useful because of costs, but hey, Starship is fully reusable, soo…
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u/BLKSheep93 1d ago
You're ignoring the impractical nature of needing to fuel in orbit 22 times in rapid succession.
Can you show me a single starship that has been reused, let alone rapidly?
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u/4everNo2the999 1d ago
The pertinent question right now is "how many launches to fully fuel the lunar starship in orbit?" Elon said something like 8, Eric Berger said something like 22... Is the new answer going to be 50?
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u/WetCake187 19h ago
22 is based on the proven mass to orbit. So that would be worst case. I don't think it will hit 8 launches but they can still carry more mass to orbit even with 230tf of thrust
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u/mig82au 1d ago
Gravity losses increase with reduced TWR, so there is at least some penalty for lower thrust.
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago
I mean, yeah, that’s what I’m referring to, gravity losses are only a thing in this part of the journey.
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u/empty_graph 1d ago
That is not correct. If you can raise the thrust to mass ratio of your rocket you can take more fuel to orbit and therefore increase delta V from LEO.
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u/bloodlynx 1d ago
it will with 3 additional boosters stacked on top of each other. Then starbase will play tetris with the catch arms on the towers.
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u/harland_sanders1 1d ago
Does anyone in this thread understand specific impulse?
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u/BubblyMoose3597 1d ago
Yes. So?
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u/harland_sanders1 1d ago
The point being, less thrust isn’t inherently a bad thing if the rocket still has a good TWR and high specific impulse.
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u/4everNo2the999 1d ago
Time to develop the starship heavy?
99 raptors all lit for the launch!
99 raptors all liiiiit
If one goes down
You'll still leave the ground
With 98 raptors all lit for the launch....
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u/oneslowlearner 1d ago
A lot of panicians are missing the point. 230tf reliably means reusable. If you want to launch an ass ton to space and not reuse anything it’s as advertised 280tf.
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u/68droptop 18h ago
People are up in arms about this for no reason. The engine likely can hit 280, but in order for it to be reliable and re-usable, they only go at 230. R4 will be here soon enough that I am not too concerned.
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u/vovap_vovap 1d ago
That explains situation quite a bit.
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u/Candid_Ninja406 1d ago
What situation? (Seriously, I'm not trolling....I haven't really been following this nor do I know what rocket engines produce.)
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u/vovap_vovap 1d ago
With Atremis first of all - looks like they just did not get promised parameters on V3
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u/ykwii7 1d ago
Isn’t this still the most powerful production engine ever made?
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u/fighter-bomber 1d ago edited 1d ago
No, because much more massive engines like F-1 and RD-170 and RS-68 and RD-180 and even BE-4 are more powerful (BE-4 sits nicely at 280tf in fact)
Raptor has the highest thrust per area (the area the engine would occupy looking at the rocket from the bottom) and has the second highest thrust to mass ratio (only behing SpaceX Merlin)
Edit: apparently RD-275M is also ahead in thrust to mass (but still behind in thrust per area)
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u/Northwindlowlander 1d ago
No, but it's extremely effective for its size/mass, which is why they go with the "many engines" model rather than "few, super powerful engines". Reliability and better control systems has made that much more viable over time.
There's at least 5 more powerful production engines that I can think of, most notably the shuttle boosters (most powerful ever) and the RD171 and RD180.
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u/captbellybutton 8h ago
Someone needs to start developing metallic hydrogen and making alot of antimatter soon. Musk is going to need it soon.
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u/Tr35on 1d ago
So someone oversold a product/technology again, what a surprise.
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u/Naive-Eggplant-5633 1d ago
The thrust to weight ratio on raptor 3 is still insane and its made to be a mass producible full flow stage combustion engine, oversold is doing a lot of lifting in that statement
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u/TheProky 1d ago
good times...