Really strong week last time out for Broadway for many shows. Few shows had significant decreases. If a show can mostly hold steady week to week, absent a holiday week, that's always a good sign. Shows are ramping up, we're approaching opening nights for shows like Wanted and Downstate and A Few Good Men, and we still have shows like Galileo on their way, not to mention the holiday specials. It's an exciting time!
Season-to-date difference from last year:
Gross Gross: -7.8%
Total Attendance: -2.9%
For Award Wins/Nominations, a * demarcates a best musical/best revival nomination/win.
Grosses (chronological order from opening)-
➡ The Great Gatsby - $1.1 million, 92% capacity, $102 atp (Down ~$39k from last week). Began performances March 29, 2024, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $983k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($50k)-$50k
2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2), Drama Desk (1), Tony (1)
Gatsby continues its hot streak, they're holding steady in that $1.1 million/week range these past couple of weeks, even with the slight decrease. Love to see it!
Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%
➡Maybe Happy Ending- $753k gross, 90% capacity, $107 atp (Down ~$35k from last week). Began performances October 16, 2024, Open-Ended
Gross Less-Fees: $655k; Weekly Operating Cost: $765k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)
2025 dAward Wins: New York Drama Critics (1*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama League (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tony (6*)
Unfortunately, this was probably not the start of Stella Cole's turn as Gil/Jill Brentley that they were looking for. We'll see about the remainder of her run, but this doesn't inspire a lot of confidence for the show comerically.
Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%
➡Operation Mincemeat- $803k gross, 96% capacity, $132 atp (Up ~$14k from last week). Began performances February 15, 2025, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $698k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $560k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-$100k
2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)
For the first time in Operation Mincemeat's history they have had three consecutive weeks of $800k or more at the box office. That level of success coming 18 months after beginning performances, with no real obvious reason (stunt-casting, movie, major awards, etc), is a really strong sign usually reserved only for shows we expect to run for years on end. It is difficult to say enough good things about this shows second year on Broadway at the box office.
Estimated percentage recouped: 20%-40%
➡Buena Vista Social Club- $891k gross, 98% capacity, $108 atp (Up ~$14k from last week). Began performances February 21, 2025, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $775k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $700k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)
2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1)
2025 Award Wins: Chita Rivera (2); Tonys (5); Grammy (1)
The second of the baseball stunt casts for BVSC continues with Bernie Williams. They also announced a Puerto Rico replica sit-down production, which I absolutely love (and suspect will do very well). I love how willing this show is to find its commercial strengths and play to them.
Estimated percentage recouped: 20%-40%
➡Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)- $590k gross, 75% capacity, $94 atp, (Down ~$50k from last week). Began Performances November 1, 2025, Closing November 29, 2026
Gross Less-Fees: $501k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $480k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama Desk (3*); Tonys (8*)
2026 Award Wins: Drama Desk (1)
Two Strangers continues their run into closing largely with the same grosses they've had the past couple of months.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡The Rocky Horror Show- $890k gross, 95% capacity, $118 atp, (Down ~$152k from last week), Began Performances March 26, 2026, Limited Through February 28, 2027.
Gross Less-Fees: $762k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($50k)-$50k
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tonys (9*)
Not a bad week for RHS, probably right around their operating cost. I think they could have a great Halloweekend.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%-20%
➡The Lost Boys- $1.2 million gross, 92% capacity, $115 atp, (Down ~$2k from last week), Began Performances March 27, 2026, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $1.106 million; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $950k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (11*); Drama Desk (5); Tonys (12*)
2026 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2); Drama Desk (2); Tonys (4)
Lost Boys put up a very similar week to last- though their capacity took a hit while their ticket price increased. No matter, this is a good week for them.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Schmigadoon- $1.0 million gross, 90% capacity, $125 atp (Up ~$7k from last week), Began Performances April 4, 2026, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $893k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-$100k
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (8*); Drama Desk (4*); Tony (12*)
2026 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (5*); Drama Desks (2*); Tonys (4*)
Any week over $1 million is a good one for Schmigadoon, so file this under their "good weeks" category- also a good sign that they increased this week, they were one of only a few.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Wanted- $624k gross, 93% capacity, $80 atp, (Up ~$173k from last week) Began Performances October 15, 2026, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $533k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)
First full week of performances, and there's a base here to build on. The capacity figure is good, even though the show is losing money through previews. I've also revised my cost estimate up to $750k/week.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡The Fantasticks- $254k gross, 100% capacity, $109 atp, Began Performances October 22, 2026, Limited Through February 7, 2027.
Gross Less-Fees: $N/A; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $500k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): N/A
I don't expect this show to make a whole lot of money, but they will be an interesting one to track. Can it drum up enough interest for a commercial transfer in the spring?
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Play Roundup:
Stranger Things: The First Shadow- Slight drop but could be worse. Closing January 3, 2027
Paranormal Activity- The steady climb continues, how far will it go? Limited Through February 28, 2027.
School Girls; Or, The African Mean Girls Play- Slight decrease as we head towards the extension. Limited Through November 15
Imaginary Invalid- I was expecting a steeper decrease with opening night, so not too bad overall. The capacity number concerns me though. Limited Through November 22
Other Desert Cities- Great bounce back in spite of middling reviews. Still, these numbers are great. Limited Through January 17
860- Great slate of reviews, holding over $1 million even with opening night, and an extension to boot. Glad to see this show doing well! Limited Through February 14, 2027
A Few Good Men- Another good week. This is putting up Ragtime numbers at the Beaumont. Opening this week! Limited Through January 10, 2027
Downstate- Another tough start for a Rudin produced play. Hopefully this doesn't suffer the fate of Little Bear Ridge Road. Limited Through January 10, 2027
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